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Nordic Economic Policy Review Number 1 / 2010

Fiscal Consequences of the Crisis

image of Nordic Economic Policy Review Number 1 / 2010

The Nordic Economic Policy Review is published by the Nordic Council of Ministers and addresses policy issues in a way that is useful for informed non-specialists as well as for professional economists. All articles are commissioned from leading professional economists and are subject to peer review prior to publication. The Nordic Economic Policy Review is published twice a year. The journal is distributed free of charge to members of the Nordic economic associations. The easiest way of subscribing to the NEPR is therefore to become a member of one of these associations, i.e., Denmark: Nationaløkonomisk Forening Finland: Taloustieteellinen Yhdistys Norway: Samfunnsøkonomene Sweden: Nationalekonomiska Föreningen For institutional subscriptions, please contact [email protected] Content: Introduction: Fiscal consequences of the crisis - Torben M. Andersen and Steinar Holden. Some lessons for fiscal policy from the financial crisis - Philip R. Lane. Fiscal policy and macroeconomic stability: New evidence and policy implications - Xavier Debrun and Radhicka Kapoor. Fiscal sustainability in the wake of the financial crisis - Torben M. Andersen. Fiscal policy and labor markets at times of public debt - Giuseppe Bertola. Fiscal costs of financial sector support: Measures and implications for fiscal policy - Daehaeng Kim and Manmohan S. Kumar. Monetary implications of the crisis: Dominance at stake - Charles Wyplosz. The Swedish fiscal policy framework - Robert Boije, Albin Kainelainen and Jonas Norlin.

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Fiscal policy and labor markets at times of public debt

This paper explores the empirical relevance of public debt accumulation for labor market institutions and outcomes. In theory, since debt service obligations act as a constraint on policy choices, past debt accumulation and current interest rates should influence reform incentives and labor market performance. Empirically, employment and unemployment rates are strongly associated with debt stock and debt service indicators over five-year periods along public debt and interest-rate stabilization cycles (1980–2000). Significant and sensible relationships are apparent between debt service, interacted with country-specific policy indicators, and labor market policy changes. While only further data and research might disentangle the forces that jointly shape public finance and labor market developments, past evidence suggests that aggregate fiscal policy reactions to the 2008–09 crisis will have persistent labor market implications.

English

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